Title - Prediction of corrosion rate and wear rate constant in gas pipelines using neural network

Number of pages: 169 File Format: word File Code: 31380
Year: 2013 University Degree: Master's degree Category: Electronic Engineering
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  • Summary of Title - Prediction of corrosion rate and wear rate constant in gas pipelines using neural network

    Master thesis

    Trend of precision instruments and automation in the oil industry

    Introduction of the whole research

     

    One of the important scientific, technical and economic topics is the issue of corrosion of metals and the protection of metal facilities. Investigating the topic of corrosion is not so simple, and with all the research done, its factors are still not known correctly. Apart from the use of chemical sciences to deal with corrosion, the use of other sciences in controlling and predicting corrosion and using its results in the repair of metal equipment is of particular importance. The problem of corrosion in the oil and gas industry has become more serious than other industries due to the presence of corrosive compounds. The inability to predict the corrosion rate makes it impossible to predict the resulting failure times, which causes problems for the maintenance and repair teams. So far, various methods have been used to deal with this phenomenon. Corrosion modeling can be effective in knowing more and predicting the issues arising from it. In these modelings, more than mechanistic methods have relied on the theoretical background of corrosion and mathematical formulas, but due to the inherent complexity of this phenomenon, these methods have not been very successful.

    Due to the mentioned complexity and the multitude of known and unknown factors affecting this phenomenon, it seems that data-driven methods such as neural networks can be used to predict the corrosion rate, provided that sufficient data is available in this field.

    This research is based on the use of The capabilities of neural networks have been established to predict the corrosion rate, and for this purpose, the information collected from the gas fields covered by the South Zagros Exploitation Company has been used. Another important issue that is of particular importance in the gas industry is the phenomenon of wear/corrosion. The wear phenomenon is very likely in wells with high flow rate or with solid particles suspended in the production fluid. Even in sand-free conditions or clean services where the intensity of sand production is about several pounds per day, the damage caused by wear is very high at high production speeds. In industry, modified shear stress relationships such as the one provided by the standard are used to predict the wear rate.

    where

    Ve: fluid wear rate (feet per second)

    : volume mass of gas-liquid mixture at operating pressure and temperature (pounds per cubic foot)

    : empirical coefficient (unitless)

    The limitations and problems of using equation (1-1) for wells are mostly related to the constant value "". The API RP 14E standard suggests that for wells that do not produce sand and also for wells that use CRA (corrosion resistant alloy) tubing, values ??of 150 to 200 should be considered for the constant. If sand or sand is produced along with the fluid, they consider the number 100. Today, after many years have passed since the API RP 14E standard was created, its ineffectiveness has become clear to everyone. The "C" constant in the API RP 14E standard is considered very conservative. In this research, we will predict the wear rate constant (experimental coefficient C). For this purpose, the information collected from the gas fields covered by South Zagros Exploitation Company has been used.

    1-2 previous activities and research history

    In recent years, the use of artificial intelligence in the field of corrosion process modeling has received attention. Artificial neural network has become one of the most widely used methods in the field of corrosion process modeling. In the following, some researches about corrosion in which neural network is used for modeling are introduced.

    One of the most serious works that have been done for the use of neural network in corrosion problems and one of the first in this field is the prediction of corrosion rate using neural network by Smets and Bogaerts. In their work, they developed a neural network and used it to predict [1] SCC on type 304 stainless steel in the presence of chloride and oxygen compounds and a specified temperature. They found that the neural network method is superior to the traditional fitting method in this regard.[1]

    In another research, a neural network model was produced to predict the number and depth of pits caused by pitting corrosion. Of course, information about the topology and size of the network and how to train it is not given. The progress in the depth of holes and their number was effectively modeled and showed good results compared to the experimental data. [2]

    Neural network has been used to predict the type of corrosion from the polarization curve. The inputs of the network are the density and pitting corrosion potential, and the outputs are the risk of each type of general, pitting, and brittle corrosion. [3]

    Nesik et al. in an article have mentioned two important problems that cause neural networks to be used less in corrosion topics. The first reason is the lack of familiarity of corrosion engineers with the category of artificial intelligence and neural network and its application in corrosion prediction, and the second reason is the lack of sufficient data in this matter. Of course, in this article, in the first part, there are explanations about the neural network for corrosion engineers, and in the second part, the Monte Carlo method is introduced, and a practical work has been done during it. [4] [

    Trasati and Gabetta produced a neural network in their research that used crude oil, acid number and sulfur percentage, chemical composition of materials, chromium percentage and molybdenum percentage, operating conditions of the process (temperature, pressure and flow rate) as input and corrosion rate in millimeter per year (mpy) as output and successfully predicted the corrosion rate through the generated neural network. [5]

    Many researches have not been done in the field of predicting the constant rate of wear in gas pipelines, as well as checking the existing standards in this field.

    API RP14E standard suggests a fixed value of "C" for corrosive services, 100 and for services that are under corrosion protection, 150 to 200. For services that do not have corrosion problems, higher values ??for the constant "C" have been suggested, although these values ??have not been specifically stated.

    In addition to the inherent limitations in the reservoir that affect the production capacity of the gas producing wells of each reservoir, the limitation of the fluid speed in the production line of the well in order to prevent the phenomenon of wear/corrosion is another factor that determines the production capacity of a gas well.

         In the available references, there are different definitions of this limit speed (which is known as the rate of wear) and various values ??have been mentioned for it. Among other things, in the case of using corrosion-resistant alloys (CRA) in the gas production brain tube, increasing this speed up to several times the usual speeds is allowed.   

         It is necessary to explain that the value of the "C" factor mentioned in the standard and based on industrial experiences in the pipelines for transporting fluids with solid particles, for permanent[2] and intermittent[3] services, is suggested as 100 and 125 respectively. The use of C values ??of 150-200 for permanent service and 250 for shift services is allowed. In cases where the production of solid particles with the fluid is likely, C values ??will be greatly reduced. The importance of the API RP 14E model is due to its connection with the two issues of the initiation of the Annular Mist regime and the speed required to destroy the carbonate and iron oxide films on the brain tube wall.

  • Contents & References of Title - Prediction of corrosion rate and wear rate constant in gas pipelines using neural network

    List:

     Title                                                                                                                                                     Page

    Chapter One: Introduction. 9

    1-1 Introduction of the entire research. 9

    1-2 previous activities and research history. 11

    1-3 research objectives. 17

    Chapter Two: Neural Networks. 18

    2-1 Single neuron modeling 19

    2-2 Activity function. 20

    2-3 neural network architecture. 21

    2-3-1 feed networks 22

    2-3-2 return networks. 22 2-4 learning algorithms. 23

    2-5 MLP neural network. 24

    2-5-1 error back propagation algorithm 25

    2-5-2 error signal 26

    2-5-3 learning rate selection. 26

    2-5-4 training stage. 27

    2-5-5 Generalization ability. 27

    2-5-6 Stop training. 28

    2-6 RBF network. 29

    2-6-1 Radial neural network structure. 30

    2-6-2-1 Determining the location of centers. 35

    2-6-2-2 Determination of standard deviation. 37

    2-6-2-3 Teaching the weight matrix of the output layer. 38

    The third chapter: fuzzy logic. 40

    3-1 introductions to fuzzy systems. 40

    3-2 basic components of fuzzy inference system (FIS) 45

    3-2-1 fuzzy rule base. 45

    3-2-1-1 Characteristics of the set of rules. 45

    3-2-2 Fuzzy inference engine. 47

    3-2-2-1 Inference based on the combination of rules. 47

    3-3 Non-fuzzifier 49

    3-3-1 Non-fuzzifier of center of gravity. 49

    3-3-2 Average center de-fuzzifier. 49

    3-3-3 Maximum non-fuzzifier. 50

    Chapter Four: Adaptive Neural-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS)). 52

    Chapter Five: Corrosion. 54

    5-1 An introduction to corrosion. 54

    5-1-1 Corrosion costs. 56

    5-1-2 Investigation of types of corrosion. 57

    5-2 Design of organic anti-corrosion systems. 68

    5-3 Corrosion in oil and gas facilities 70

    5-3-1 Corrosion by corrosive carbon dioxide gas. 71

    5-3-2 Corrosion by corrosive liquids of oil tanks. 73

    5-3-3 Corrosion by hydrogen sulphide corrosive gas. 73

    5-4 Corrosion in three-phase systems of wells and gas pipes and its control methods. 77

    5-4-1 Corrosion control methods. 77

    5-4-1-1 Corrosion inhibitors. 78

    5-3-1-2 pH stabilization method. 82

    Sixth chapter: Wear phenomenon in hydrocarbon production systems. 88

    6-1 Wear process in oil and gas production wells 89

    6-2 Wear mechanisms. 90

    6-2-3 Vulnerability of equipment against the phenomenon of wear: 90

    6-3-2-1 Material of equipment. 92

    6-3-2-2 conductive metals and other conventional materials. 92

    6-3-2-3 Special wear-resistant materials. 93

    6-4 Abrasion caused by sand or fine particles. 94

    6-4-1 Sand production and transportation. 94

    6-4-2 Size, shape and hardness of solid particles. 96

    6-5 wear/corrosion. 97

    6-6 Wear caused by hitting liquid drops. 98

    6-7 cavitation. 100

    6-8 Wear due to solid particles in elbows 101

    6-9 Wear of solid particles in closed T-shaped joints. 103

    6-10 methods of monitoring, preventing and managing wear phenomena. 104

    6-10-1 wear management techniques. 105

    6-10-1-1 Reducing production flow. 105

    6-10-1-2 pipeline design. 105

    6-10-1-3 Separation and removal of sand from the flow. 106

    6-10-1-4 instructions and prediction of wear. 107

    6-10-1-5 Wall thickness assessment. 109

    6-11 wear prediction tools and a review of the research done. 110

    6-11-1 Review of the most important standards in pipeline design and wear management. 110

    6-11-2 Wear prediction tools and models. 111

    6-11-2-1 API standard RP 14E. 112

    6-11-2-2 Other wear prediction models. 117

    6-11-3 Comparison of knee wear prediction models 124

    Seventh chapter: research method. 131

    7-1 Prediction of corrosion rate. 134

    7-1-1 Corrosion rate prediction using neural network. 134

    7-1-2 Prediction of corrosion rate using ANFIS. 141

    7-2 constant prediction of wear rate. 151

    Chapter Eight: Conclusion. 158

    Chapter 9: Suggestions. 159

    Resources 160

    Source:

    Resources

     

     

    List of sources. 159

    Resources 160

    Source:

    Resources

    List of Farsi sources

     

     [9] Mustafa Kia, "Neural networks in MATLAB", Kian Sabz Computer Publications, 1387.

    [10] Nima Jamshidi, Seyyed Rasool Moulai and Ali Abuei Mehrizi, "Applicable teaching of advanced topics of electrical engineering with MATLAB", Abid Publications, 2016.

    [11] Mehdi Ghazanfari, "Neural Networks (Principles and Functions)", second edition, University of Science and Technology Publications, p. 296.

    [15] Mohammad Baqer Minhaj, "Basics of Neural Networks (Computational Intelligence)", University of Technology Publications Amir Kabir, 1377. [20] Li Wang, translated by Mohammad Tashnelab, "Fuzzy Systems and Fuzzy Control", Khwaja Nasiruddin Tousi University of Technology Publications, 1389.

    [21] March J. Fontana, translated by Ahmed Saatchi, "Corrosion Engineering", Isfahan Industrial Unit Jihad Publications, 1387.

    List of Latin sources

    [1] Smets, H. M. G., Bogaerts, W.F.L. (1992). Neural network prediction of stress corrosion cracking, mater perform, vol.31, PP 64-68

     

    [2] Urquidi-Macdonald, M. , Eiden, M.N., Macdonald, D.D. (1993). Development of a neural network model for predicting damage function for pitting corrosion in condensing heat exchanger. Modification of passive films, Paris. PP. 336-343. [3] E.M. Rosen and D.C silverman Corrosion prediction from polarization scans Using an artificial neural network integrated with an Expert system. NACE international, corrosion/92, vol. 48, no. 9, pp. 734-745. [4] Nesic, S., Nordsveen, M. Maxwell N., Vrhovac, M. (2001). Probabilistic modeling of CO2 corrosion laboratory data using neural network corrosion science, vol.43, PP. 1373-1392

     

    [5] Trassati, S.P., Gabbetta G. (2006), study of naphthenic acid corrosion by neural network corrosion engineering science, and technology, vol 41, Number 3, PP. 200-211.

    [6] Andrews, P.; Illson, T.F.; Matthews, S.J., "Erosion-Corrosion studies on 13Cr steel in gas well environment", PP. 568-574, December 1999

     

    [7] Esmaeilzedeh, F.,"Future south pars development may include 9 5/8-in.tubing". Oil & Gas Journal/ Sep. 27, 2004, PP. 53-57. [8] J. Kamruzzaman, et. al, "Artificial Neural Networks in Finance and Manufacturing", 2006.

    [12] G. Bortolan and J. L. Willems, "Diagnostic ECG classification based on neural networks", J. Electrocardiol, Vol. 26, pp. 75-79, 1994.

    [13] B. Krose, P. Van der Smagt, “An introduction to Neural Networks”, 1996,

    (http://www.avaye.com/files/articles/nnintro/nn_intro.pdf)

    [17] Y. Kutlu, M. Kuntalp, and D. Kuntalp, “Optimizing the performance of an MLP classifier for the automatic detection of epileptic spikes”, Expe. Syst. App., Vol. 36, pp. 7567–7575, 2009. [18] Hartman. E., Keeler. J. D, and Kowalski. J. M, Layered neural networks with Gaussian hidden units as universal approximations. Neural Computation, vol. 2, no. 2, pp. 210-215, (1990).

    [22] Venkatesh, E.S. Erosion damage in oil and gas wells. Proc. Rocky Mountain Meeting of SPE, Billings, MT, May 19-21, 1986, pp 489-497.

    [23] Haugen, K., Kvernvold, O., Ronold, A. & Sandberg, R. Sand erosion of wear-resistant materials: erosion in choke valves. Wear 186-187, pp 179-188, 1995. [24] Marchino, P. Best practice in sand production prediction. Sand control & Management, London, October 15-16, 2001. [25] Det Norske Vertitas. Recommended practice RP 0501: Erosive Wear in Piping Systems. 1996, Revision 1999. [26] Salama, M.M. & Venkatesh, E.S. Evaluation of API RP14E erosional velocity limitations for offshore gas wells. OTC 4484, OTC Conference, Houston, May 2 – 5 1983, pp371 – 376, 1983.

     

    [27] Shadley, J.R., Shirazi, S.A., Dayalan, E., Ismail, M. & Rybicki, E.F. Erosion-corrosion of a carbon steel elbow in a carbon dioxide environment, Corrosion, Vol 52, No9, September 1996, pp 714 – 723. [28] Shinogaya, T., Shinohara, T. & Takemoto, M.

Title - Prediction of corrosion rate and wear rate constant in gas pipelines using neural network